Chapter 290 Say something

Author: September Sauce

Chapter 290 Say something

In the showdown over this incident, Chen Nian had actually considered the consequences.

He has actually thought of other plans, such as large-scale evacuation under the pretext of "drills", "earthquake prediction technology", etc.

But the former is frighteningly difficult to operate, while the latter is almost impossible to achieve.

Yes, the system provides the source point requirements for earthquake predictors, but the size of this requirement is in the five-digit range.

The reason is very simple. If you want to predict earthquakes, you must first have a 100% grasp of the global geological environment. This requires human detection technology to be hundreds of years ahead of its time.

In addition, even if we have geological environment data, it is impossible to complete a reference analysis with the computing power currently possessed by humans - at least until the emergence of quantum computers.

Generally speaking, earthquake prediction seems ordinary, but it is even more difficult to implement than a starship.

Therefore, he could only speak frankly.

That's right, once he says some things, he will face huge logical challenges.

Why do you know there are earthquakes? Why do you have this information? Where does the information come from? Besides these, what else do you know?

Or, are you a prophet? Are you from the future?

No matter which question it was, it was difficult for him to answer.

However, he was also mentally prepared.

This is something that cannot be escaped.

Objectively speaking, recovering the losses caused by this disaster is extremely important to national development, even many times more important than an aircraft carrier or a strategic bomber.

Subjectively, he really cannot sit back and watch his compatriots suffer.

This is not a trolley problem, this is tens of thousands of human lives.

After all, in his opinion, not doing something even though you can do it is a huge waste of your abilities.

Taking a step back, even if you consider your own interests, this option actually doesn't have much harm.

Anyway, my current situation is almost the same as a showdown, it's just that everyone tacitly doesn't mention it.

Being able to predict the future is indeed a huge "plug-in" for ordinary people, but is it really that important to a country?

Chen Nian didn't think so.

At a macro level, the characteristic of "predicting the unknown" actually has a limited effect.

You know that the other side is going to take action against Iraq, and then what?

Stockpile oil in advance? Lay out the energy market in advance?

Not to mention what kind of chain reaction such a big move will cause, the resources required to make these moves are not easily affordable.

In a word, the conflict between great powers is all a conspiracy.

Since World War II, no country's development has been succumbed to conspiracy.

Even in the last life, when we suffered a collapse in the soybean, steel, and chip markets, didn't the officials know what the other side was going to do? Did the officials really not have any advance predictions?

impossible.

Or, it can't be stopped.

Or, it is impossible to calculate the cost of responding to the other party's plan versus the possible benefits.

Even if we can predict the future, we cannot do this.

After all, Chen Nian only knows about "events", not the overall "state of affairs", nor does he know what kind of plan is the "optimal solution".

Therefore, in the final analysis, technological development is the only main thread. If you want to rely on the unpredictable to take advantage of the situation, you should give up the idea of ​​​​fighting for hegemony as soon as possible.

Of course, that's what he said, but if he really faced a key event where "information can change the outcome" and Chen Nian could remember it, he would still take action without hesitation.

For example, this time, or that time in 2014, or that time in 2020.

Thinking of this, Chen Nian's brows relaxed slightly.

He raised his head again and looked at Chen Guo, his mind completely clear.

He opened his mouth and said:

"In terms of funds, we should not have too many difficulties. Including emergency disaster relief funds and post-disaster reconstruction funds, the total amount will not exceed 200 billion."

“Our focus should still be on ‘how to minimize losses’, especially on reducing casualties.”

"As long as people are alive, everything is easy to say."

"clear."

Chen Guo nodded slightly and then said:

"I'm not a relevant scholar, but according to my understanding, currently, the entire world does not have a good way to deal with large-scale, high-intensity geological disasters, especially earthquakes."

"The best option is to reinforce the building, improve the earthquake resistance level, and evacuate people in a timely manner."

"As for wanting to prevent earthquakes from happening at the source, I've never heard of it."

"I have heard."

Chen Nian said.

"There is a design called the 'seismic shield' structure, which refers to a layer of void structure formed around key areas that need to be protected by drilling holes in areas where earthquakes occur frequently."

"Artificial experimental data shows that this structure can reduce the energy of Rayleigh waves generated by earthquakes by more than 80%."

"The only problem is that the amount of work required for this structure is too large and the cost is too high."

"There is also the so-called 'earthquake cloak', which is to plant wedge-shaped trees on the land and convert Rayleigh waves into shear waves through the height arrangement of the trees."

"Of course, although this design is less difficult to implement, the effect is also much worse."

Hearing Chen Nian's words, Chen Guo frowned slightly.

"What if multiple methods are used in combination? Can the maximum effect be achieved?"

"Theoretically it should be possible - but the specific implementation still needs to be discussed by relevant geological experts."

Chen Guo nodded silently and continued to ask:

“How precisely can you map out the hypocenter?”

"Within 10 kilometers."

Chen Nian did not remember the exact latitude and longitude coordinates of this earthquake, but he knew that the epicenter was near Yingxiu, and the deviation would not exceed 10 kilometers.

"That's not a big project."

Chen Guo's expression relaxed again, and then he explained while calculating on paper:

"Look, if the effect of the earthquake shield is reliable, we calculate it based on a diameter of 30 kilometers, and the circumference of the epicenter control area is about 100 kilometers."

"Within this 100-kilometer length, we need to carry out deep drilling operations. The diameter of a single hole is 1 meter, the depth is 100 meters, and the hole spacing is 1 meter."

"The amount of earthwork in one hole is only 120 cubic meters. The total amount of earthwork is 6 million cubic meters. I am not a civil engineering professional, but if we only look at the amount of earthwork, this data does not even touch the edge of large-scale projects."

After hearing Chen Guo's calculations, Chen Nian was also surprised.

At first, he really thought that this would be a big project, but after thinking about it carefully and delineating the precise location, it seemed that it really wasn't that big.

Of course, this "not big" benchmark is the size of national projects.

If he wanted to complete this kind of project without the help of the official, but by himself, even if he relied on the Spark Team, it would be impossible.

After all, the biggest problem of the project is not the difficulty of the project, but the various social problems caused during the construction process

After thinking for a moment, he said:

"Less than 6 million square meters."

"There are fixed standards for the calculation of seismic shields. For seismic waves of magnitude 8.0 and 50Hz, the hole size should be about 60 centimeters, and the depth does not need to be 100 meters. 30 meters is enough to block surface waves."

"That's easier!"

Chen Guo clapped her hands gently, with a smile on her face.

"It's not a big matter, it's within the scope of handling."

"However, your news is really a top priority."

"Otherwise, a problem that can be solved by tens of billions or even billions may cause losses in the trillions."

Chen Guo's inference is not an exaggeration. In fact, according to official statistics from the previous life, the direct economic losses caused by this earthquake reached nearly one trillion, and the overall economic losses caused indirectly were immeasurable.

"Do you really believe me?"

Chen Nian suddenly asked.

"There's nothing you don't believe. Even if you say you dreamed it, we still have to deal with it according to the standard of 'a nightmare coming true'."

"Don't worry too much. Even if we are wrong, we will just treat it as a rehearsal."
To be continued...