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Chapter 201 Fifteen years

Subtitle of this chapter: Prophecy is risky, and you must be cautious when pretending.

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Of course you can do whatever you want with money.

Among the four gentlemen here, the richest one is naturally George Baker. He is about to donate six million US dollars to Harvard University and one million US dollars to NYU.

And in the more than ten years before his death in 1932, the "Wall Street Miracle" donated about 15 million US dollars!

The 15 million US dollars in the 1920s... It was enough to build a battle cruiser team during World War I. You know, the cost of Niu Niu's Hood was only "only" six million pounds.

To be honest, if you really want to have a country to play with it, it would be enough to find a place where birds don’t poop in black Africa.

However, everyone knows that Yuan Yanshu is talking about the Dutch Southeast Asian colony, and that is the strategic priority of being rich and rich.

The Palembang oil field on Sumatra alone is mouth-watering.

By 1939, Palembang produced an annual oil output of 4.7 million tons, and Neon Gold consumed only 4.95 million tons throughout the year. Moreover, the oil produced in Palembang was the only quality of the oil produced in the North Sea Brent light oil in the UK, with a low sulfur content that can be used directly to burn.

No wonder the shameless Japanese Navy went south shamelessly.

"Gentlemen, don't need to say anything, you know that it is naturally not a matter of money to establish a country in Nanyang. BU...U...UT!"

Our Master Yuan said firmly: "But this is not impossible."

"Gentlemen, there is only one problem before us, and this problem is..."

He first deliberately lengthened his tone, then took a cigar, which sniffed the appetite of the three of them, and then he emphasized, "Will we encounter a world war?"

Regarding this question, gentlemen with some knowledge in 1921 will answer it, and it is very likely.

However, the "World War" they imagined was a bit different from the later World War II. There was no fascist steel axis. They believed that the next opponent should be the more terrifying Bolshevik Red Alliance.

Whether it was the "Dowes Plan" and "Yange Plan" that helped Germany, or the selling of oil and "scrap steel" to Japan, it also included personally helping Lin Bei's legs to make 3412, and later encirclement and suppressing the Spanish Republican government.

In the eyes of Western gentlemen, this is all about fulfilling the obligation to fight against the red blood.

As for helping the Soviet Union with its first five-year plan, the first is that capitalists would sell the urine properties that killed their noose as long as they were profitable, and secondly, after the Great Depression, everyone would not care about so many things.

"If your answer is completely impossible, there is nothing to say."

"But if your answer is possible, then shouldn't we make some preparations in advance?"

"I dare to use all my property as a bet. Once the next World War occurs, the whole of Europe will be unable to take care of itself. At that time, most of the colonies in the world will have a period of power vacuum..."

"That's our chance!"

“…”

The three of them were silent for a while, and Louis Baker took the lead and asked, "Neo, how long do you think it will be before the next battle?"

"Fifteen years!"

On that timeline, World War II broke out in 1939 and the Pacific War began in 1941. So did our Master Yuan make a mistake or did he deliberately fool people in advance?

No. The fifteen years he mentioned refer to 1936 when the Spanish Civil War began.

In fact, the Civil War in West Outer was not the fuse of World War II, and was at most considered rehearsal. It did not have a great impact on the political landscape in Europe at that time, and it promoted the "friendship" between the two men, the restraint and the upside-down man.

However, this war is very consistent with the Western imagination of the "world war". On one hand, there is a conservative group of landlords and officers who believe in Catholicism, and on the other hand, there is a radical left-wing alliance that wants to defeat all conservative forces to the ground.

Moreover, at that time, whether left or right, many people in the world really thought that this was the beginning of the reincarnation of Europe and even globally.

Master Yuan, who was prepared, said very simply: "Louis, you are a half-economist. Mr. Baker is an experienced economic worker. You should know what a business cycle is."

He turned to look at his nephew and said, "Tell me that the economic cycle is simply a phenomenon of cyclical economic expansion and economic tightening alternating and recurring cycles. One cycle will have four stages: prosperity, recession, depression and recovery."

Yuan Yan suddenly turned around and said, "It is obvious that we are entering this stage of prosperity. I also hope to be an optimist so that we can believe that the whole world and America can flourish forever."

"But as an economics scholar, I have to pessimistically judge that prosperity will always end, and recession and depression are waiting for us."

"So what will recession and depression bring? Of course it is revolution and war!"

"We are in a global market that is increasingly closely linked. Recession and depression are no longer limited to one country and one region. Similarly, revolutions and wars will spread to all over the world like the Spanish flu in previous years..."

"Neo..." George Baker suddenly interrupted him and frowned, "Like you said, you are an economist. Then there is no way for you to stop it...well, at least, can you all alleviate the effects of recession and depression?"

Of course there is a solution, it is still ready-made.

As long as Master Yuan jumps from neoclassical liberalism to Keynes... these days, he should really be called the "Yuan Yan Shu School".

But he had only one way. If he advocated a big government in 1921, the government should also carry out macro-control, such as abolishing the Federal Reserve and implementing a real central bank to implement monetary austerity policies, such as increasing wages and benefits for all workers to expand domestic demand, such as nationalizing key enterprises and departments...

The whole book is over! Still BAD ENDING.

Even if the American big capitalists and politicians suddenly had a conscience and brain, they would not only not punish him, but instead obey him... Our Master Yuan was not willing to do it, he was not a real international capitalist fighter.

"Hahaha..." Yuan Yan burst out laughing and spread her hands, "Mr. Baker, don't say I have no choice. Even if I have a choice, I won't say it. I don't want to be a dislike of Cassandra!"

Kassandra is the princess of Troy. She was originally a sacrifice of Apollo, and thus obtained the power of prophecy. However, she was against the sun, so no one would believe her prophecy that the sun could not be cursed by her sun god.

I have to say that Chinese is so profound.

"Well...what am I talking about?"

Huang Zongyi reminded: "Uncle, you have been talking about it for fifteen years."

"Yes, fifteen years." Yuan Yan suddenly turned her head and smiled at her nephew, "Fifteen years later, you are less than forty..."

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Chapter completed!
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