From the observed military and horse movements, Zhu Da could draw rough inferences, but these inferences he would only tell Qin Chuan, Zhou Qingyun and the Wang brothers that he would not tell others so much information.

"...As far as I know in Taiyuan, the government army probably dare not move..."

"...The official army may not be unable to fight, but dare not fight, and is unwilling to fight. It is unlikely to intercept it. At most, it is to rear-end and send it out..."

The Wang family in Taiyuan is a giant family, and they have close relationships in the government and the army. They have a very accurate understanding and judgment on this aspect. Qin Chuan lived in the Wang family at that time, so he would definitely understand it in more detail, let alone Wang Xiong.

Everyone avoided talking about one thing. According to Zhu Da's analysis, in fact, there should be a Mongolian army of thousands of cavalry stationed at dozens of miles or as far as a hundred miles away. From a wider area, Huairen County is actually surrounded by three powerful enemies, which is even more dangerous than what you can see.

After Zhu Da and Qin Chuan made their decision that night, Qin Juren did not try to persuade or try to keep him. However, those who are careful could see that he was depressed. However, at this moment, no one would be in a good mood. No one would do it if he was curious or kindly comforted.

But after all, it is much better than the tension and despair in the previous few days. The news from the city was not isolated from the city, and the relaxation at the city also led to the city. Everyone felt that the Tartars would not attack the city, and this time there would be a safe past. There were even more decent people coming to the city to express condolences and rewards. They were watching the fun. Not always can you see the Tartar army's transit of such a large scale.

Some families close their doors for banquets on New Year's Eve and Spring Festival, and some families visit each other to pay New Year's greetings. If they are not strictly inspected, some people want to set off firecrackers, they are all stopped without politely and are confiscated without politely, so as not to have any trouble. Everyone feels nothing is wrong and lives a happy life with the city gate, but Zhu Da dares not have any surprises. Making up his mind does not mean that he will give up on himself at this time.

On the third day of the first lunar month, the fifth day after the Mongolian Liangtaiying Pan from the Outer City, Zhu Da saw the return journey's large cattle, horse, carriage and camel carriage, full of loads, and even reminded Zhu Da of the word "overload" in more than 20 years of life. With the convoy, there were also loose formations of cavalry and prisoners stumbled on the snow.

This team returned from the south far more than the need to pull carts and carry goods. There were no young and strong men among the prisoners. Even if they were far apart, they could probably see that they were all women and young people.

They plundered wealth, livestock and women. Every time the Mongols invaded the south, they just plundered nearby around the border when they returned, so as not to consume food or cause trouble.

The harvest was really "rich". Zhu Da's eyes were getting colder and colder when he watched all this at the squadron. Even the decent figures in the county who climbed the city because of "curiosity" were all frightened and were no longer willing to stay in the city and left.

No matter how you see the camp in and out, the Mongolian soldiers and horses have not disturbed the city these days, and everyone is becoming more and more relaxed.

In a sense, Zhu Da is also becoming more and more relaxed. Every day he passes, he becomes more and more calm. However, this kind of calmness is easily understood by people around him as "relaxation" and "safe". In a sense, Zhu Da is also "hard to say".

The range of observation at the city is within your sight. Although you can see the distance from the sky, you can see the flat snow fields around you, but what you can observe is limited after all. What you can see is the grain station outside the city. The daily in and out of the people, food, fodder and goods can still be seen.

Considering the distance and time, then considering the supplies plundered by the big trucks, and even adding the number of young women, we can roughly judge what kind of results the Mongolian army has and how many towns it has plundered.

On the fourth day after Huairen County observed the army, it was seen that the continuous spoils were transported back, and there were so many spoils. This only shows that the Mongolian army was not hindered in the front and broke the cities and villages, otherwise there would not have been so many seizures.

Could it be that Huairen County is only tense and timely prepared, and other cities and villages have been careless and slack. Perhaps there are no strong men like Zhu Da and Qin Chuan who can completely control the county, or they will not be able to mobilize the county's forces, or they will not be able to respond in time. When the real disaster is coming, will there be a way to reach an agreement and be directly broken by the rapidly coming army?

But Zhu Da thought of another situation. The Mongolian army planned it very carefully this time. Their chief general and relevant figures should have considered various situations. If they want to go south as soon as possible, break the city without threats. If they are prepared, let it go directly. Huairen should be like this. According to this inference, the purpose of the Mongolian army this time is to go south to the greatest extent and plunder as many areas as possible...

Where to go south? Are you going to Henan? Are you going to Northern Zhili? How big a region is to be plundered? After passing Datong, it is Shanxi. These two places are relatively rich in the world in Daming. However, if you break into Northern Zhili, there are more wealthy prefectures and counties worth plundering there, and there are several Saikou Passes in Northern Zhili to go to the grassland.

But if the invading Mongolian horses had such a big plan, the time it took would not take a few days or dozens of days, but months or even half a year. If the time was delayed so long, the variables would become larger. Moreover, the roads in the Datong border area were very difficult to walk due to the severity and mud, and the march would be greatly affected. No matter how much the Ming Dynasty's official army retreated and was always moved, the risk would be great...

Zhu Da stood at the top of the city and thought intently. The people around him thought he was still observing outside the city, but he didn't expect that Zhu Da was completely trapped in thinking.

Suppose you are the chief general of the Mongolian army and want to break through more cities, plunder more wealth and population, and then withdraw to the grassland as safely as possible, then you should avoid the season when spring freezing and muddy hard to move around as much as possible. The most suitable time for invasion should be the late autumn. At that time, the Mincang of the Ming Dynasty was full of autumn harvest, and the land roads had become hard, not to mention that the autumn on the grassland was high, the horses were fat, which was in the best condition, with sufficient supplies for plundering, and the roads were suitable for trampling, destroying all preparations made by Daming Border Town for spring plowing, and a few months were needed to achieve all goals, and then withdraw at the end of the first month of the second year.

This is a logical and meticulous plan, but now it is less than two months for the Mongolian army to operate in the Ming Dynasty. There is still a certain amount of time left to marching and fighting to avoid unplanned risks. If this is the case, if unpredictable risks are avoided, the remaining time to ensure that "complete" is at most one month.

Will the Mongolian troops rectify and gather together after the Battle of Yingzhou and suppress their hatred? This time, it is for the purpose of complete revenge, complete burning, killing, looting, and even defeating the Ming Dynasty. But if that is the case, why do you have to launch an attack when winter is about to end? Why do you need to set up a military station in Huairen County, which is not too far from the border, and why should you transport a large amount of wealth and prisoners back?

There is no sign that the Mongolian army was blinded by hatred this time, and the border town was numb from the constant and no substantial attacks. Then, they concentrated their efforts to break through in the two groups, and set up a grain station camp at a suitable location. There were also troops holding the government troops that might be dispatched. From the launch to the present, everything was calm and stable, and there were no flaws...

Zhu Da, who had been frozen and motionless, shook his mind. He suddenly realized that the Mongolian army would not be delayed in the Ming Dynasty for too long this time, and it would only take one month at most. This would be in line with their behavioral logic, although there was too much time for the Mongolian army, and the profits could not be maximized.

Why did Zhu Da suddenly think of the small-scale invasion that caused his relatives to die and destroy his family business? Could it be the prelude and test of this invasion of the army?

So is this "half-way" for the next larger invasion? What will be like next time?

Zhu Da's thoughts came to an abrupt end. He came to another conclusion that the Tartars army would return much earlier than the previously predicted time. He thought he would have to wait a month or even longer before the Mongolian troops would return to the army to capture Huairen City. Now, it will not be more than twenty days!

There were a few people staring at him around Zhu Da, thinking about Zhu Da’s various performances of "stale", "concentrating", "suddenly" and "easy smile" now. Everyone is very optimistic at the moment. Master Zhu has figured out the relaxed and optimistic, why don’t everyone be happy?

If you just wait and suffer day by day, the longer the time is delayed, the more it will be worn out for people. Zhu Da doesn't feel that he has a "steel-like will". He is also afraid of despair and cowardice that will be wiped out. When things come, they will lose their courage. That will be meaningless. The longer the time is, the more unfavorable it is. The shorter the time, the less the boiling blood will be.

Since it's almost over, just welcome it calmly and have a good time!

Zhu Da did not share what he had figured out with Qin Chuan and the Wang brothers. Everyone had already thought about the ending, and the reason and process were actually not that important.

After confirming that the "end" is faster than expected, Zhu Da still did not panic, or even calmer. He had to use all his strength to fight a rabbit, and was afraid of it as accidental. Now he is a "rabbit", so he should not be careless, nor be violent or hysterical. That is what the strong people do.
Chapter completed!