Chapter 557 Prediction
When he met Chen Qiaoshan again, Tian Yuan naturally wanted to have a good chat with him.
The international market is full of fish and dragons, speculators are everywhere, and all kinds of news are flying everywhere, especially international crude oil. Many people are clamoring to see through the general trend, but not many people really dare to bet and bet. In the futures market where capital is king, the 28 rule is also applicable. Only a very small number of people can succeed. There are many people who accidentally lose their money, and there are also some who make a fortune overnight with small profits.
Lu Jian, also one of the Dong entrepreneurs, once gambled in the international futures market in the early 1990s, and made enough wealth to spend all his life, which caused a lot of trouble at that time.
It was that speculation that Lu Jian completed his wealth accumulation in one fell swoop, which made him the most comfortable among his brothers in the past ten years. Tian Yuan saw all this.
Now Chen Qiaoshan is very likely to copy Lu Jian’s old story. As one of the witnesses of that year, Tian Yuan will inevitably be a little curious. He said: "Mr. Chen, Qingshan Capital also has a business in Pengcheng?"
Chen Qiaoshan said: "That's not the case. I was passing by and went to Hong Kong by way of the road."
"Yes, then we are fellow travelers." Tian Yuan's heart moved and he said casually without saying anything.
Chen Qiaoshan's original predictions are still in his mind. International crude oil prices have successively broken through historical highs, and everything has been confirmed. It is difficult for him to not associate with him when he chooses to go to Hong Kong at this time.
The two of them can only be considered as nodding. If they talk about investment as soon as they meet, they will be a little bit indifferent. Tian Yuan had to pick up some irrelevant topics and talk about them, "Mr. Chen, are you from Nanyang?"
"Dengzhou native." As an authentic Dengzhou native, Chen Qiaoshan specifically corrected the dispute between Nanyang and Dengzhou for decades, but it was just in vain. In the eyes of outsiders, Nanyang is undoubtedly much more famous.
"I am from Kaifeng, we are half a fellow villager." Tian Yuan said almost.
Kaifeng and Dengzhou are seven or eight hundred miles apart. This fellow villager is a little far away, but at least it is from the same province. Chen Qiaoshan smiled and said, "Mr. Tian, we are not only fellow villagers, but also comrades in the same trench."
"How do you say this?" Tian Yuan was a little confused, so the two of them met twice in total. He really couldn't figure out where this comrade-in-arms came from.
Chen Qiaoshan revealed the magazine at hand. It was just bought at the airport. The cover title was extremely conspicuous: Tianjin lost 3,000 manhole covers a year and lost more than 3 million yuan.
Tian Yuan smiled helplessly. Without reading the content, he already understood what Chen Qiaoshan meant.
There have been many news about the loss of manhole covers in recent years. Every time they are mentioned, people in Henan Province will definitely be mentioned, making it seem like they can't survive without stealing the manhole cover. The origin of this prejudice is no longer verified, but it is very contemporary. The hat is really worn on the heads of people in Henan Province and cannot be washed off.
"It seems that you have to take time to do side jobs on the street, otherwise you are not a qualified Yu Provincial People's Daily." Tian Yuan cooperated and said self-deprecatingly, which made the relationship between the two a lot.
After a two-hour voyage, Tian Yuan was not in a hurry. He chatted for a while and then asked the main topic, "Mr. Chen, you are indeed very keen. When talking about the trend of crude oil last time, I didn't care about it at first, but the oil price has recently broken through historical highs. I have seen it. Mr. Chen is really young and promising."
"Mr. Tian laughed. You are the senior in the futures industry. I am a junior. I can't be treated like a few words." Chen Qiaoshan said modestly. He still respects Tian Yuan's generation of entrepreneurs.
Including the Dong-based entrepreneurs, these people have a special label, 92-sponsored entrepreneurs.
After Deng Gong's southern tour of 1992, a large number of public officials from the government and research institutes were affected by this and resigned and went into business. These people became the founders of the first batch of modern enterprise systems in China.
Tian Yuan is one of the best. He was once the youngest department-level cadre in China. For example, Lu Jian, is the youngest department-level cadre in Qiongzhou Province. There are not too many such examples.
"Mr. Chen, you should have gained a lot this time, right?" Tian Yuan asked half-jokingly.
Lu Jian earned a fortune that was astronomical at the time. He turned around and ran to Europe for a few years. He finally became obsessed with skiing in Switzerland. He slid for a lifetime and finally started a professional ski resort.
However, in Tian Yuan's eyes, his junior brother obviously regarded business as a side job, and it was mainly to satisfy his personal hobbies, otherwise the back of the Yanjing Nanshan Ski Resort would be open to the public.
Tian Yuan was a little curious. Chen Qiaoshan was so young. If he had successful speculation, what would he have in the future?
Chen Qiaoshan smiled. He didn't know what Tian Yuan thought, and even if he knew, he wouldn't take it seriously.
This time I did make a lot of money, but Chen Qiaoshan didn't mean to wash his hands. Before he got the money, he had planned the use, so he really had no choice.
"It's not worth mentioning that I've earned some hard money." Chen Qiaoshan was very low-key, but it was impossible to keep it low-key. Once this option is delivered, a profit of more than HK$100 million will inevitably cause a sensation in Hong Kong.
Tian Yuan did not continue to ask about the income question. After all, the two of them were not familiar with this, so he took the opportunity to ask the most concerned question, "Mr. Chen, what do you think about the future market?"
Chen Qiaoshan expected this question. If he only talked about the general trend of oil prices, he was more professional than senior traders, but when it comes to specific trends, it is hard to say much, especially the recent trends.
He still knew what to say and what not to say, "I think 53 US dollars is not the peak, there should be room for upward."
"Will continue to move higher?"
The current market has far exceeded the historical highs, and the news is not very good. The United States has begun to use crude oil reserves to stabilize oil prices. Under such circumstances, it is inevitable to bear pressure.
"This is my judgment. As for how much it can rise, I dare not assert, but it is certain to continue to rise." Chen Qiaoshan's tone was quite firm, giving no room for doubt.
Tian Yuan felt a little unreliable, but when he thought about the last time he met Chen Qiaoshan, he felt that he could not draw a conclusion too early. "Judging from the historical trend, oil prices have not fluctuated so violently, which is a bit incomprehensible?"
"Many people are accustomed to using historical data to analyze the current economic trend. This approach is undesirable or wrong. Historical markets are reference-oriented, but the data will be rewritten sooner or later. This is an inevitable trend of economic development." Chen Qiaoshan naturally would not talk to Tian Yuan about theoretical basis. That was a big sword in front of Guan Gong, but no one can match his level of being a charlatan.
"Everyone thinks that oil prices will be high this year, but I don't think so. Maybe in another five years, this year may become a low point in previous years. Who can tell the future trend accurately?"
Chen Qiaoshan fooled it with the rustic words of the car. His predictions now seem ridiculous, but what should come will always come. After this fluctuation, oil prices will continue to rise and eventually reach a high of US$147 per barrel in 2008, which no one expected.
The two chatted all the way, but Chen Qiaoshan didn't have too surprising opinions.
Tian Yuan was a little disappointed. Any speculator has a strong personality and is even paranoid, and is used to expressing opinions to others. He could not see this from Chen Qiaoshan at all, but could feel the other party's confidence. Tian Yuan felt a little contradictory, but he couldn't say what was wrong.
It was already early in the morning after getting off the plane.
As soon as he got off the corridor bridge, Tian Yuan asked: "Mr. Chen, have you made any arrangements? I have friends here to pick you up. It's so late, why should we join us?"
Chen Qiaoshan said: "Thank you, Mr. Tian, no need to worry, I have booked the hotel pick-up service."
Oil prices are at a high level and the situation is changing rapidly. Whether it is a sudden drop or a new high, the situation may be clear at any time.
Tian Yuan hesitated for a moment, and he also wanted to see if Chen Qiaoshan's prediction would hit again. After thinking about it, he said, "It's getting late today and I don't have the opportunity to find a quiet place to chat. I will have to go to Hong Kong tomorrow. Mr. Chen, if it's convenient, you might as well get together in Hong Kong."
Tian Yuan has an extraordinary identity. As a fellow villager, it is okay to make friends. Chen Qiaoshan said: "Okay, my trip to Hong Kong this time is not short. If Mr. Tian has free time, he can call me at any time."
"Then we'll make up for it, let's call."
Until he got in the car, Tian Yuan was still thinking in his heart, mainly because Chen Qiaoshan was too young. Lu Jian was already in his thirties when he was struggling, but this little fellow villager looked tender, needless to say, he was still far from thirty.
Chapter completed!