Chapter 468 of the Seventh Golden Scepter: The Twilight of the Dragon (1)
The following text is excerpted from the last chapter of the "Safety Assessment of the Economy of the Country" report by Fuxi Company, "The Twilight of the Dragon - The Economy of the Country entangled on the brink of life and death".
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"Where is the country's economy? Today's country's economy still has development prospects and security. To answer this question, we must start from analyzing the internal structure and development momentum of the country's economy. To analyze the internal structure and development momentum of the country's economy, we only need to grasp one data and grasp the key to understanding the various problems of today's country's economy and the most critical core..."
"A healthy economic system, like the human body, has various objective indicators for measuring health. Just weighing weight does not mean that a person is healthy and strong. Just looking at the GDP of an economy cannot mean that the health and strength of an economic system. In the past twenty years of reform and opening up, the theory of GDP alone (weight theory only) has obviously brought most Chinese people into the misunderstanding of understanding and development - as long as the country's GDP is increased, the country's economy will be strong and the national strength will be
Is it really like this? The absurdity of this understanding is like saying that an obese patient with a 100 kg class has the same combat power as a 100 kg class professional boxer in the boxing ring. Fat and muscle are two different concepts. One is a representative of poor circulation in the human body, and the other is a representative of strength and agility. The same 100 kg has a completely different meaning. The same is true for GDP. If we do not analyze the composition of GDP, we cannot do it from the same
A simple and empty GDP data deduces the conclusion that a country's economic system is healthy and powerful. This is a common sense understanding in the economics community, but what is shocking is that such a simple common sense has been deliberately covered up and ignored, or even misinterpreted in China for a long time by most "mainstream" economists who have a huge influence on the country's various macro policies. Excluding the absurd inference that these mainstream economists are academically ignorant, then
If these mainstream economists deliberately do this, it would be very interesting if they were not other hidden motives for interest. And when we analyze the meaning behind the high economic growth of the country represented by the country's GDP, although we are feeling: "Use an adjective like "end of the road", it is not an exaggeration to say that the country's economy has reached this time. Perhaps this word is not enough to describe the dangerous situation in which the country's economy is today."
"To understand the dangerous situation in which the country's economy is in today, start with the proportion of final consumption in the country's economic system that accounts for about 49% of GDP..."
"From the perspective of final demand, GDP can be decomposed into investment demand, consumption demand and export demand, which constitute total social demand. Economic growth is the result of the joint action of supply and demand. Therefore, the three major demands are the main factors that determine economic growth, that is, GDP growth, that is, what we usually call the three carriages that drive economic growth. Among these three carriages, the most important one running in the middle is consumption. The consumption rate is the proportion of consumer demand in GDP. The average proportion in the world is 80.1%, 49%.
,.u|Depth, this number may be even lower. Such a huge gap is not only far lower than the world average, but also far lower than many developing countries such as Indonesia, the Philippines, India, etc. Behind this huge gap, there is the real status of the economy of the country today, and it also reflects the development prospects of the country's economy that are worried about. The 30% difference from the world average is a big pit dug by the country's economy for itself, leading to a cold abyss..."
"What exactly causes such a huge gap between the consumption rate in China and the world average? Through research and data comparison, it is also worth our consideration. It is also a fact that the country is the most;..., but the situation is relatively low for a long time. Since the 1980s, the final consumption rate in China has dropped by an average of about 0.5 percentage points per year, forming a long-term downward trend. In GD, one of the most developed provinces in China, this ratio was even lowered to 45.6% last year, according to the statistical communiqué of the National Bureau of Statistics. The unusually low consumption rate can be explained in addition to the explanation.
In the past decade, most people in the country.: In addition to the growth pace of dp, the most fundamental and core, is also a reason and fact that many mainstream economists in design reform are unwilling to mention or even deliberately embellish and cover up. In the past decade, although the reform and opening up of the country has increased, it also created a large, large, and almost no consumption capacity for the country's total population. Most Chinese people have not enjoyed the results of GDP growth in these years, but have become poorer. More and more rural unemployed people who have been deprived of their land have become more poor.
The city laid-off army is constantly joining this torrent. This is a characteristic of the social structure. To put it bluntly, once the stable critical point of the social structure is reached, the final flow of this torrent will determine at least the fate of the country in the next hundred years. Anyone who cannot recognize this fact and ignores the long-term impact of this huge class on all aspects of the country's social and economic aspects has no meaning in all the analysis and estimates of the future of the country's economy. Now the increasingly severe public security issues and the gradually manifested class opposition sentiment will give us no reason to be optimistic!”
"Who kept the Chinese from consumption?"
"To answer this question and find the root cause, first of all, we must expose a poor lie for the reform process of the mainstream economics country in zh country for more than ten years. From the very beginning, mainstream economists who have been deified described equality and efficiency as a pair of natural enemies. They firmly believe that equality will lead to loss of efficiency, as if equality is a little more, efficiency will be less. This suspicious theoretical assumption is that when the right to speak is monopolized by the mainstream economics community,
It has dominated the reform path of zhh for nearly ten years and has exerted immeasurable influence and destructive power. Sometimes, this assumption is even deliberately interpreted by some vested interest groups with ulterior motives. As long as it is efficient, then robbery and theft should be allowed. It is even pushed down by developmentally: inequality is the condition for economic growth. According to this logic, in order to achieve economic growth, we should not only tolerate inequality, but also actively create inequality."
"Are equality and efficiency really an enemy? As early as forty years ago, Muirdar's "Asian Drama" asserted: 'The increase in equality will help these developing countries in Asia more than hinder development. Equality can play a more positive role in Asia than in the West, because Asia needs equality more than in Asia, which has a long tradition of democracy and equality. Equality can play a greater role in Asia'."
"Zhh country reform: the great success is the result of the release of great momentum of justice and equality in the country. This is the early rural areas of China: before, there were serious problems in rural areas. The fundamental reason is that the soil of equality and justice is too thin in rural areas. The general unequal treatment suffered by farmers and rural areas has reached a shocking point. According to public data, only cheap land acquisition is a rough estimate that over the past decade, local governments in various places have withdrawn more than 5 trillion yuan from rural areas.
The wealth of this is far greater than the country's investment in rural areas and farmers in recent years. Understanding this point, it is not difficult for us to understand the reasons for the general decline of rural areas in China today. Some foreign scholars have compared the living conditions of farmers in China today with the living conditions of blacks under the African apartheid system, and came to a conclusion that makes every Chinese feel ashamed - the harsh living environment of farmers in China today and the many injustice and discrimination they suffered, even exceed that of blacks under the apartheid system!”
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"Every country farmers are our brothers and brothers. Without the silent contributions and contributions of their ancestors and generations to the country, there will be no today in the country. Therefore, when we see those peasant sisters-in-law who are wearing simple clothes on the road, when we stand on the bus with the migrant workers who are covered in sweat and dust, please do not look down on them, nor do you pinch your nose and walk away, because they are the group of people who contribute the most to the country and the group of people who are most respected in the whole country!"
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"The new country has contributed to the poorest, worst living conditions, and most inexpensive groups. This result cannot help us think deeply, distort the reform of equal values. What kind of situation should the country bring to? And ignore the country's most popular|:&
"The essence of a market economy is a contract economy, and the basis of contract is based on justice and equality. With common sense, we can also infer that a game rule based on equality is certain
"The artificial distortion of the values of equality has caused immeasurable and destructive negative impacts in the economic process of the country over the past decade. The consumption structure of the country is essentially caused by this slander and deliberate misinterpretation of equality in economic activities. This logic and thinking dominate the wealth distribution structure of society, and the wealth distribution structure of society determines the consumption structure of society, and this is the root of a series of problems faced by the economy of today's country!"
"For a long time, the economists in the mainstream country have insufficient domestic demand and are troubled by the Gini coefficient of the country's disaster level. They use opinions such as 'dual structure theory' and 'the rich people in the country are not rich enough' to confuse right and wrong, and completely lose their academic morality and personal conscience. They do not understand or want to understand at all. In a country, when 20% of the social wealth supports 99% of the population, while 60% of the social wealth is occupied by only 1 population, the country's ridiculously low consumption rate and various economic problems are not difficult to solve."
"In a society that is constantly creating a larger and larger land and has little risk resistance, if it wants to maintain social stability, this society must export enough jobs and maintain the unemployment rate at a safe level. To achieve this goal, this society must maintain a sufficient economic growth rate to do it. As the main driving force, the country's economy must also maintain such a rapid growth momentum in the past decade. Some people say that this is a miracle and myth created by the country's economy, but
In an economic activity and economic system that is dominated by cold and objective social laws and natural laws everywhere, are there really so-called miracles and myths? Unknown primitive people may regard aircraft and atomic bombs as myths, but as a modern person, few people may regard aircraft and atomic bombs as myths. The vanguard that drove the economic growth of the country can no longer run and drag its legs. With the remaining two carriages, investment and exports, how are they promoting the economic growth of the country? Are they really the economic driving force for the giant dragon of the country to take off?"
"To answer this question, let's start with an inexplicable contradiction between overcapacity and overheating of investment in the country. When the sluggish consumer demand acts in an economic system, the most direct consequence is to cause overcapacity in that economic system. This is the system's investment faced by the country's economy. Because when the current capacity is no longer digestible, excessive investment will inevitably aggravate this contradiction and will also bring amazing waste of social wealth and resources. Just like a person eating, eating too much, unable to digest, and is already overwhelmed. At this time, you need to exercise or spit out the indigestion of things, instead of continuing to eat again. However, the development logic of the country's economy is contrary to this basic common sense. Overcapacity and overheating of investment can actually exist at the same time, ice and fire..."
"They also noticed an abnormal phenomenon. The investment rate of countries has been repeatedly reaching new highs. Last year, the investment rate of countries reached more than twice the world average, and far exceeds other economies similar to the development stage of countries. According to the World Bank statistics, the world average of investment rate last year was 19. Among them, the high investment rate of countries was 19.0, and the middle-income countries were 22.9%. The extremely high investment rate of countries was 19. Some people explained that the country is in a special heavy industrialization and urban stage, but objective statistics deny this. Moreover, like the sluggish consumption rate in countries, the investment rate of countries >.. is high. Generally speaking,
High investment rate means good investment opportunities or major technological improvement opportunities, but the data shows investment efficiency. It is at the lowest level in the world. Compared with India, which has a fundamental situation, the GDP output value generated by the country of zh is 16 yuan per 100 yuan, while India is 26 yuan. The investment efficiency of the country of zh is only equivalent to 61.5% of India. Is the country of zh rich enough to burn money? This answer is obviously no, but objective data tells us that the answer is yes. In zh, there are indeed people who are burning money. It is through this kind of money-burning behavior that exceeds the world average, but is only more than half the efficiency of others, and it burns a country of thriving in a prosperous and expanding GDP..."
Chapter completed!